Compliance Costs under the Clean Fuel Regulations: Estimating near-term credit prices, compliance costs, and impacts on fuel prices

In June 2022, the Government of Canada enacted the Clean Fuel Regulations to replace the federal Renewable Fuels Regulations, with new lifecycle carbon intensity reduction requirements that took effect on July 1, 2023.  The Clean Fuel Regulations require producers and importers of gasoline and diesel to reduce the life cycle carbon intensity from the fuels […]

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The Future of building heat and the natural gas network in a net zero Canada

The Canadian Climate Institute mitigation team wants to provide policy guidance to accelerate decarbonization of heating in Canada’s buildings, and avoid costly dead-end pathways. A central thrust of the project is modeling technological pathways to attain decarbonization goals and understanding the economic viability of Canada’s gas networks in them. The results of the technical analysis […]

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Modelling hydrogen’s potential across multiple sectors of the Canadian economy and Biennial Hydrogen Strategy Report for Canada

Natural Resources Canada’s 2021 Hydrogen Strategy aimed to develop a strategy that will set Canada on the path to meet our climate change goals of becoming net-zero by 2050 and position Canada as a world-leading producer, user and exporter of clean hydrogen, and associated technologies. Updated modeling is part of the Hydrogen Strategy Implementation Progress […]

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Developing global best pratice modelling for an optimal development of the Canadian forest sector for climate change mitigation and economic growth

ESMIA is involved in the conceptualization of a rigorous decision-support framework to help Canada become a global leader in the development of forest bio-products for climate change mitigation and economic growth. Defining optimal strategies regarding the future role of the forest sector requires special refinements in integrated and dynamic energy system models such as NATEM. […]

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Building an online Pathways Explorer for a large variety of net-zero scenarios for Canada

ESMIA and IET have a long collaboration history for the development of energy outlooks and energy transition scenarios, including net-zero scenarios. Using the most technology-rich energy model in Canada (NATEM), these publications provide unique insights and guidelines to decision makers from companies and governmental agencies regarding cost-effective policies and strategies to meet ambitious climate goals. […]

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Modelling the impacts of the federal Liberal Party’s climate plan and estimating the gap to achieving Canada’s 2050 net-zero target

The Liberal Party of Canada (LPC) made major climate policy announcements culminating in their 2021 federal election climate platform. The policies were modelled in NATEM—including carbon pricing, a clean electricity standard, large investments in industrial decarbonization, subsidies to low carbon vehicles and heating devices, and many others—as an attempt to meet a 2030 climate target […]

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PARIS REINFORCE – Building a low-carbon and climate resilient future: climate action in support of the Paris Agreement

PARIS REINFORCE is a large-scale innovation project with a 6.5 million Euros funding from the European Commission and involving 18 modelling teams worldwide. The project aims to underpin climate policymaking with authoritative scientific methods and to enhance the science-policy interface in light of the Paris Agreement. The first goal is to develop a novel, policy […]

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Optimal GHG reduction trajectories for Quebec – Horizon 2030 and 2050 (Update 2021)

More than an update of the first publication published in 2019, this new study Trajectoires carried out for the Government of Quebec is the result of an in-depth modelling exercise aimed at defining decarbonization pathways for the Quebec economy reaching the carbon neutrality by 2050. Using ESMIA economy-wide GHG optimization NATEM model, it provided all […]

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