3E modelling with NATEM

Modelling the impacts of the federal Liberal Party’s climate plan and estimating the gap to achieving Canada’s 2050 net-zero target


Client: Clean Prosperity (Canada)

The Liberal Party of Canada (LPC) made major climate policy announcements culminating in their 2021 federal election climate platform. The policies were modelled in NATEM—including carbon pricing, a clean electricity standard, large investments in industrial decarbonization, subsidies to low carbon vehicles and heating devices, and many others—as an attempt to meet a 2030 climate target of 40-45% reduction in GHG emissions below 2005 levels. The results of this modelling work allowed to quantify the emissions reduction under various scenarios in both 2030 and 2050, the impacts of LPC policy on energy and technology in relevant sectors of the economy, and the costs of the plan to households.

Other projects in this category


Modelling hydrogen’s potential across multiple sectors of the Canadian economy and Biennial Hydrogen Strategy Report for Canada

Natural Resources Canada (Canada)


Compliance Costs under the Clean Fuel Regulations: Estimating near-term credit prices, compliance costs, and impacts on fuel prices

Independent Assessment funded by Environment and Climate Change Canada


The Future of building heat and the natural gas network in a net zero Canada

Canadian Climate Institute (Canada)