Post-crisis support to the government’s reform initiatives: coal phase-out, gas infrastructure and just transition in Kazakhstan

The UNDP aimed to support the efforts of the Kazakhstan Government with the analysis of the socio-economic risks and benefits of country decarbonization with a coal phase-out and the possibility of bridging this process with the expansion of gas generation through a just transition lens. ESMIA was selected to quantify the risks and benefits of […]

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Compliance Costs under the Clean Fuel Regulations: Estimating near-term credit prices, compliance costs, and impacts on fuel prices

In June 2022, the Government of Canada enacted the Clean Fuel Regulations to replace the federal Renewable Fuels Regulations, with new lifecycle carbon intensity reduction requirements that took effect on July 1, 2023.  The Clean Fuel Regulations require producers and importers of gasoline and diesel to reduce the life cycle carbon intensity from the fuels […]

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The Future of building heat and the natural gas network in a net zero Canada

The Canadian Climate Institute (CCI) mitigation team selected ESMIA to perform modelling as part of a project to provide policy guidance to accelerate the decarbonization of heating in Canada’s buildings and avoid costly dead-end pathways. A central thrust of the project was modelling technological pathways to attain decarbonization goals and understand the economic viability of […]

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Modelling hydrogen’s potential across multiple sectors of the Canadian economy and Biennial Hydrogen Strategy Report for Canada

NRCan’s 2021 Hydrogen Strategy aimed to develop a strategy that will set Canada on the path to meet net-zero 2050 climate goals and position Canada as a world-leading producer, user, and exporter of clean hydrogen, and associated technologies. NRCan is required to provide a progress report for the Hydrogen Strategy every two years, and to […]

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Optimal role for harvested wood products in net-zero pathways for Canada with biogenic carbon accounting

The objective of this project was to enhance the modelling that quantifies the contribution of forests to achieving Canada’s climate targets and economic development by optimizing the representation of harvested wood products (HWPs). This enhanced energy system modelling initiative required a very rigorous representation of provincial and territorial forest industries as sources of bioenergy, feedstock […]

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Building an online Pathways Explorer for a large variety of net-zero scenarios for Canada

ESMIA and IET have a long collaboration history for the development of Canadian Energy Outlooks and energy transition scenarios, including net-zero scenarios. Using the most technology-rich energy model in Canada (NATEM), these publications provide unique insights and guidelines to decision-makers from companies and governmental agencies regarding cost-effective policies and strategies to meet ambitious climate goals. […]

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PARIS REINFORCE – Building a low-carbon and climate resilient future: climate action in support of the Paris Agreement

ESMIA was responsible for case studies in Canada, the United States, and Mexico using its NATEM optimization model for PARIS REINFORCE – a large-scale innovation project with 6.5 million Euros funding from the European Commission and involving 18 modelling teams worldwide. The goal of this project was to underpin climate policymaking with authoritative scientific methods […]

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Optimal GHG reduction trajectories for Quebec – Horizon 2030 and 2050 (Update 2021)

More than an update of the first publication published in 2019, this new study Trajectoires carried out for the Government of Quebec is the result of an in-depth modelling exercise aimed at defining decarbonization pathways for the Quebec economy reaching the carbon neutrality by 2050. Using ESMIA economy-wide GHG optimization NATEM model, it provided all […]

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