3E modelling with NATEM

Low-carbon energy supply and sectoral demand scenarios for British Columbia (Canada)


Client: Ministry of Energy, Mines and Low Carbon Innovation, British Columbia (Canada)

The province of British Columbia launched the new CleanBC Roadmap in 2021 to meet its GHG reduction targets: 40% by 2030 and 80% by 2050 (below 2007 levels). Collaboration with the Ministry to study how low-carbon energy supply potential could best be used to meet demand scenarios in the province through 2050. Using the economy-wide optimization energy system model NATEM (North American TIMES Energy Model), multiple versions of the CleanBC Roadmap policy package were modelled to compare their impacts with the optimal solution computed by the model to achieve the province’s GHG targets at the minimum cost. In particular, it provided insights on how to minimize increases in natural gas tariffs for consumers and help prevent the beginning of death spiral effects.

Other projects in this category


Developing global best pratice modelling for an optimal development of the Canadian forest sector for climate change mitigation and economic growth

Client: Canadian Forest Service, Natural Resources Canada (Canada)


Building an online Pathways Explorer for a large variety of net-zero scenarios for Canada

Client: Institut de l’énergie Trottier (IET) and Natural Resources Canada (Canada)


Modelling the impacts of the federal Liberal Party’s climate plan and estimating the gap to achieving Canada’s 2050 net-zero target

Client: Clean Prosperity (Canada)